Sunday Football Tips – 11/11/12

More tips today than yesterday, so hopefully more profits too! There are 7 in total from the major leagues, a couple of which offer great value (mainly the two English Premier League tips). Good luck with your bets…

Vitesse v Twente (11:30am)

The way Vitesse have been playing has drawn plenty of applause from pundits, and the game today gives them a great opportunity to put themselves within touching distance of today’s opponents and league leaders Twente. Twente have struggled when travelling this season, and have now won just one of the last 5 away from home. This includes a loss at Ajax and a shock draw at strugglers Roda. After a convincing 2-0 win at Ajax last time out, Vitesse will know they have what it takes to compete against Twente and will be quietly confident in getting all three points. Obviously, as is always the case – money will pile in on Twente. This will not be an easy trip for them and they would be happy with a point I am sure. The sway towards Twente in the market actually places value on the home side. Their 2-1 defeat to AZ is their only defeat in 14 league games – a great record.

Man City v Tottenham (1:30pm)

I’ll be at this game, and thought I’d check the odds out to se if anything stood out, and it certainly did. Despite Man City remaining unbeaten in the league this season, they haven’t been great at all, and have found it difficult to brush teams aside as they did quite regularly last campaign. In the 15 games this season in all competitions, they have won by more than one goal on a single occasion (3-0 v Sunderland). More interestingly, they have managed just 6 victories in those 15 games. A winning percentage of 40% isn’t great, and Spurs have won more (47%) in their last 15, including 4 by more than one goal. After winning at Old Trafford, I believe they will come in to this game expecting to get something from it. To be honest, I’ll be surprised if they don’t. Backing the away win, or Spurs DNB offer decent value, but you can gain even more of an advantage going further down the Asian Handicap ‘spectrum’…

Genoa v Napoli (2:00pm)

Genoa have lost their last 4, and haven’t won in 7.Of the last 7, they have failed to score on 4 occasions which will be encouraging for a Napoli side who have lost their last two on the road. Prior to that however, Napoli kept three clean sheets on the road, making that a very likely outcome. They have shown that they can score goals, and in Edinson Cavani they have one of the best goal scorers in Serie A. Genoa don’t like losing by many, and the last 8 games have gone under 2.5. If Napoli manage a clean sheet (which I expect), then there stands a very good chance that 0-1 or 0-2 will be the final outcome

Chelsea v Liverpool (4:00pm)

Liverpool are yet to have a real test on the road so far this season, playing four teams that you would expect them to compete and get a fair amount from. Instead, they have won just once, drawing twice. Suarez is undoubtedly their main threat and will no doubt cause some issues for the Chelsea defence, but the value in this fixture lies with Chelsea. The home side have won 4/5 at Stamford Bridge and the defeat to United was under dubious circumstances. They’ve managed 13 goals at home, conceding 6 (3 against United). With no fresh injury concerns, The home side are almost certain to take advantage of their attacking threat and a defence who have shipped 10 in 6, with no clean sheets in that time either.

Greuther Furth v Borussia Monchengladbach (4:30pm)

Furth are still yet to get to grips with the league so far this season, with their only win coming in their second game at Mainz. Monchengladbach have struggled too, but are a far stronger outfit and will look at this game as a must for getting all three points. With Furth managing 1 goal in their 5 at home so far this season, it’s hard to see past an away win. Surprisingly, there is a lot of value on that bet (mainly down to two poor performance from ‘Gladbach, losing 4-0 at Bremen and 5-0 at Dortmund). However, against a poor side who are struggling to score, this is the perfect opportunity to turn their faltering season around. They are still only 5 points from 4th place.

Montpellier v PSG (8:00pm)

I’ve saved the highest odds for a “WIN” tip until last. This will be a great way to end the weekend as the odds are (at time of writing) almost at 6/4 (2.50). Without Zlatan (suspended), some will want to avoid this instantly, but PSG have a decent squad that despite his ability, shouldn’t miss him all too much.  Unbeaten on the road in the league this season, and with 3 clean sheets in 5, Montpellier will be up against it, especially considering their indifferent form at home, without a win until their last fixture against Nice, and without a clean sheet at all… I believe there is great value on the away side, and it more than warrants backing PSG (you could go safer with DNB if you like), but that will potentially eat in to your potential profits.

TerryTipster Tips:

Vitesse v Twente – Vitesse +0.00 (2.00 – Betfair)

Man City v Tottenham – Spurs +1.00 (1.91 – BetVictor)

Genoa v Napoli – Napoli win to nil (3.00 – bwin)

Chelsea v Liverpool – Chelsea -0.50 (2.00 – Betfair)

Greuther Furth v Monchengladbach – M’gladbach +0.00 (1.89 – Betfair)

Montpellier v PSG – PSG -0.50 (2.44 – Betfair)

About Terry

I have years of experience in the industry, working in both a professional football and betting environment