Last night was a skin of the teeth night but it all covered non the less. Last night really did highlight the importance of the lines in the NBA. As much as half a point can make a massive difference sometimes, and if you’re ever in a situation where you can only get a spread a point or even 0.5 above the line I’m suggesting – it’s worth emailing me at [email protected] to ask my advice. Boston covered -10.5 by an 11 point win, while the Kings -5 came in through a 6 point win, but it’s certainly satisfying to have known you’ve got your analysis right to that extent!
Toronto Raptors @ Brooklyn Nets
What can you say about the Nets? A mash of out of sync individuals with no direction and no drive have turned themselves in to one of the hottest and most dangerous teams in the NBA right now, especially with home court advantage. Avery Johnson and his sacking seems a distant memory and the Nets have won 8 of their last 9 under Carlesimo. With any good team it usually starts at the back and it has here. Most teams are struggling to score as many as 87 points against the Nets whilst Deron Williams is leading the offense to score much more than that. Toronto played on Sunday so have had a rest, but it seems little use with the likes of Bargnani and co still out, along with a couple of fresh worries here. They also will be starting a back to back here tonight. They play the Bulls tomorrow which is equally tough, but by theory of them being at home tonight you’d guess that becomes a more ‘winnable’ game. Brooklyn are on a roll and will also want to take advantage of this game with a road trip to Atlanta to come tomorrow by beating a tired Raptors side.
LA Clippers @ Houston Rockets
This one is straight forward for me. It doesn’t take too much research, it doesn’t take too much knowing to realize that you have the best team in the NBA against the quickest team in the NBA. Both teams are more than capable of putting 100+ point on anyone, anywhere, at any time. The Rockets tend to just destroy teams and blow them away with their quick breaks and unbelievable scoring power (when they are playing well) and the Clippers, although they are capable of big, big points totals, have also pulled out a lot of wins thanks to some awesome defending. Tonight however the Clippers will be without Chris Paul. Paul takes away from the Clippers on both ends of the floor, and I’m a little unsure about his replacements. Whilst the Clippers should be able to account for the lost points I’m just thinking an LA team without him in Houston and this game could become something of a shootout. Houston average 109 points at home and LA are playing without rest. This game is not one to miss!
Brooklyn Nets -6 @ 1.88 with Pinnacle
LA-Houston Over 207 @ 1.97 with Marathon