Brazilian football tips 30/1/13Comments Off

We certainly made up for a poor Saturday on Sunday evening where we won 4/5 of our Brazilian bets only being let down by Santos. So I’m hoping for an even better midweek to bring us some big profit. 

Audax Rio v Botafogo FR (7pm)

Botafogo are slowly building up their performances in the state championships although results will show the opposite after a win first game followed by two draws. The fact is in the previous two games Botafogo have played two much tougher opponents including a hard fought encounter against national champions Fluminense. As each game goes on Botafogo are looking fitter and showing more of a physical presence in games.  Audax Rio are full of confidence at the moment having picked up an impressive 7 points from a possible 9 although against much lesser opponents than they’ll face on Wednesday evening. Botafogo have defender Doria back who in my opinion is the best young defender in Brazil and will surely offer a threat from set pieces with his presence alone. I think Botafogo will come on top this game as their contrasting style of play to Audax Rio will highly favour Botafogo.

Madureira v Macae (7pm)

An interesting game from the Rio state championship where attacking Macae travel to counter attacking experts Madureira.  Macae have a pure football philosophy of “you score 5 then we score 6” although they seem to be struggling to win games at the moment it really is fascinating to watch them throw numbers forward during every attack no matter what the score. Maduereira on the other hand will concentrate on defending by using 2 deep banks of four and using attacking midfielder Jean Carlos who often picks up the ball deep in his own half before setting off on an attack of his own using his pace and skill to draw opposition defenders out of position for the Madureira strikers to utilise the space. Looking at both teams style of play this is a perfect opportunity to use a BTTS as Madureira have a high conversion rate of the chances they create and Macae create that many that eventually one normally goes in.

Ponte Preta v Oeste (9:30pm)

An awful start to the season for one of my favoured teams this season Oeste has made me re-evaluate their chances of doing anything other than stop up this season. Although I think as the weeks go on they will improve over the coming weeks it just doesn’t seem to be happening at the moment so with the squad low on confidence and numbers they could be turned over by Ponte Preta here. Ponte Preta were my pre-season bet to get a play off space (top 8) and with them currently sitting in 3rd position coming off the back of two impressive wins including a 1-0 away victory against world champions Corinthians. I’m expecting Ponte Preta to continue their impressive record with a comfortable win against Oeste.

Ituano v Santos (12am)

Winless Ituano host Santos on Wednesday night and I’m expecting a big performance from Santos after the poor performance against Bragantino. Against Bragantino it took a 92nd minute penalty from Neymar to prevent the Santos defeat but apart from that penalty the young forward was largely unimpressive throughout. Having watched Santos for multiple seasons now I can tell you one thing, Neymar does not have two bad games in a row! I’m expecting at least two goals from the forward especially against the Ituano defence who tend to try and play the offside trap. Andre has been awful this season for Santos and I believe this could be his last chance to put in a performance before being dropped to the bench. Ituano have been really awful every game this season and its only down to sheer luck that they haven’t conceded more goals with the post being their current player of the season. I’m expecting a very comfortable Santos victory this game.

Gremio v LDU Quito (12am)

It’s time for Gremio to finish the job against LDU and qualify for the group stages of the Copa Libertedores. Gremio lost the first leg 1-0 after an end to end encounter which really was a thrilling game. Gremio held their own against the Ecuadorian and really could have won the game but a 1-0 defeat is not a big deal especially with their strong home support to come during the second leg. Gremio recently signed Napoli forward Eduardo Vargas on loan in what could be the signing of the season. Just two years ago the forward was the 2nd best talent in Brazil but a move to Europe held up his progress so just like everyone else I’m expecting a big season from the Chilean forward. In the first leg Gremio created chances but were just simply unlucky to not have anything fall for them inside the penalty area. I’m taking Gremio to qualify here and although the odds are lower than the bets I usually take I think it’s a fairly safe bet.

Lewis’s tips:

Audax Rio Vs Botafogo FR – Botafogo -1 (1.95 BetDaq)

Madureira Vs Macae – BTTS (1.7 BetDaq)

Ponte Preta Vs Oeste – Ponte Preta  -1 (2.00 Pinnacle)

Ituano – Santos – Santos -1 (2.01 Pinnacle)

Gremio Vs LDU Quito – Gremio to qualify (1.65 Sporting bet)

About Lewis

Our resident Brazilian football expert

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