Yesterday was yet another day of profit for my Spanish tips, although there’s still plenty of room for improvement. I’m still going to be sticking by the value mantra, so don’t expect me to tip over 0.5 goals in the Barcelona game.
Sevilla v Rayo Vallecano (4:00pm)
Sevilla have once again failed to deliver so far this season, sitting far below their true ability level in 12th place. Most of this can be attributed to their terrible away form which has seen them pick up only 1 win from 11. Their season has been littered with strong performances at home, including the 3-0 victory against Granada last weekend, but in general they have not been convincing. In fact, they have only won 2 home games all season by more than 1 goal, the derby against Betis being the other example. Rayo Vallecano have been the shock of the season for me. After a mass exodus of players in the transfer window, including none other than Michu, I predicted them to be relegated easily. However, some shrewd business in the transfer window and utilisation of young players (in particular Leo Baptistao) has seen them rocket up the table. Like Sevilla, their away form has not been as good, but they haven’t been beaten by large margins too regularly. Overall, I like taking Rayo on a large handicap, a bet that is bolstered by the return of key-man Leo from injury.
Real Sociedad v Mallorca (8:00pm)
My followers on twitter will be well aware of my love for Real Sociedad, established a long time before they beat Barcelona to end their unbeaten stream this season. Their core attacking unit of Prieto, Vela, Griezmann and Castro has gained them many plaudits and rightfully so. They have however faltered a little in defence and have been culprit of conceding goals when they really shouldn’t be – and as a result have a high proportion of draws, especially considering their most recent form. Indeed, both teams have scored in 7 of Real Sociedad’s last 8 matches. Mallorca’s form has been completely inexplicable. Starting off with a 5 game unbeaten streak, ironically including a win against Real Sociedad, they then went on to only win 1 of their next 16 matches in the league. I am of the opinion that most of their problems are mental rather than physical and have not really got it in them to grind out a 1 goal victory. Mallorca have been absolute goal magnets in recent weeks, with both teams scoring in 6 of their last 8 games in the league. Both teams to score immediately looks like fantastic value.
James’ Spanish Football Tips:
Sevilla v Rayo Vallecano – Rayo Vallecano +1 (2.06 Pinnacle)
Real Sociedad v Mallorca – Both Teams To Score (1.91 William Hill)