It’s time for more NBA! Last night was something special for sure. The 4-0 is always a aim and a nice return for my efforts, but what I’m talking about is the stunning nature in which the Celtics covered the -2 spread, beating the buzzer to win by 4 in the 3rd period of over time. It was perhaps one of the most entertaining NBA games of all time, and definitely the season. Tonight we have several more bets and we want this 9-1 run to continue!
San Antonio Spurs @ Chicago Bulls (1.00am)
Here’s a new one for you. Not a point spread bet, not a total bet and not a match bet. No, tonight I’m taking my first prop bet and we’re looking at the line set on Tony Parker for points. The bookmakers have set the line at 23.5, just 1 night removed after Parker lit up the Nets with 29 points in a blowout win. There’s no doubt in my mind Parker is playing the best basketball of his life and it just confirms my thoughts that he is without doubt the best point guard in the entire NBA. Previous to last nights game Parker dropped 31 points 3 games in a row. Parker is an 11 year pro and has averaged 21 points per game for the season, just 3 points less than what the bookies have set the line for here. Although the total is inflated due to his recent form, I don’t feel it’s inflated as much as it should be given he’s averaged 30 points in his last 4 games home and on the road, and the Spurs are capable of winning this game after blowing out the Nets last night. However, the thing I like most, is the injury report that stated Joakim Noah didn’t do much in training on Sunday which means at best he should see limited minutes – if that’s the case I think it’ll be hard for the Bulls to compete with this well drilled Spurs unit that’s made SO much better by Tony Parker. More rebounds and more second chance points can definitely help push Tony Parker over what is a slightly under cut points total line at 23.5. Let’s back Parker to keep up his 30 point average over the last 4 games and his 25 point average in the last 2 weeks.
New Orleans Hornets @ Detroit Pistons (12.30am)
The Hornets played last night and after I strongly considered taking them +4, they were then dominated by Toronto in losing the game and failing to cover the spread. That left me in no doubt the second I saw that score what my play would be tonight. The Pistons are playing some tremendous basketball, the best of their season, and the Hornets aren’t the best of teams on the best of nights but they definitely come in to this one with some heavy legs. As well as a clear difference in quality mixed up with a rested Pistons side playing a Hornets side in a losing back to back spot, the stats favour the home side heavily. What’s impressed me most about their recent runs is even when they were home and road dogs, they overcame the +5 on them to actually beat the Spurs by 10, covering the spread by 15, and beating the Bucks by 5 as a +7.5 road dog, covering that spread by a total of 12.5 points. The Hornets were blew out last night and as well as it being a back to back spot, it’s their third game in four days and after traveling up to Toronto last night they’ve had no time to prepare or train today as they travel back down in to the US and to Detroit, all possibly without leading scorer Eric Gordon who might not play. The Pistons have not only covered their last 6 home games vs a side with a losing record such as the Hornets, but they’re facing a team that has only covered 2 of the 8 spreads set for the second game of a back to back spot. If the Hornets cover tonight it’d be only the 3rd time in their last 9 outings after a loss. But it wasn’t just a loss, it was a blowout. Also, Jose Calderon will start the game and has made an instant impact in his new home in Detroit.
Brooklyn Nets @ Indiana Pacers (12.00am)
I keep saying it in my previews because it’s funny as hell, and because I’m a Heat fan. So – the Nets team that said they’re ready to challenge the Miami Heat? Ever since being blown out by the Heat, they’ve lost their last 6. One was by a 9 point margin, the rest were by 15-25 points and most of the damage came in the second half when a team pushed in front and the Nets attitude just reflected that of a team that simply does not below in it’s own ability – or in this case lack of, recently. The nice thing about the Pacers is not only are they a strong 20-4 at home but they’re only half a game ahead of the Bulls and still battling every single night to secure the playoffs and the Central division. They know the Bulls have a tough game against the Spurs tonight and with the Pacers feeling aggrieved having thrown away the game in their last outing, and their coach has made it public in his interview he expects a backlash from his team. He often gets it as the Pacers are 20-10 when it comes to covering point spreads as a favorite this year, and VERY few of those come at home. They’ll be well prepared and well rested to face a Brooklyn side that has done nothing but get blown out every game in February and the tail end of January. They also played last night, getting destroyed by the Spurs at home, and the scheduling back to back spot doesn’t help them either.
Minnesota Timberwolves @ Cleveland Cavailiers (12.00am)
Obviously we took the Grizzlies -9 last night and said it was a sure bet. Obviously we can’t say the same about this game, because the Cavs are a different team, whoever it does prove how bad the Wolves are right now that I can honestly sit there and tell you an NBA -9 tip WILL win. They have a lot of players out right now and every since Love went down injured they’re just 2-15 and getting beat on the spread consistently. They were a strong playoff chasing team and right now they look no better than the lowly Bobcats or the struggling Hornets. The Cavs however have been playing good Basketball and they’re on the up. They’ve won 6 of their last 9 and having lost to this same Wolves team last time they out, I’m sure we have a revenge spot here as the Cavs know they can target a very weakened Timberwolves team. The Wolves will be slightly tired after playing last night. They didn’t folw completely despite the blow out scoreline, and they actually played hard and fast to try and keep with the best defense in the NBA. All of those factors play in to our hands on a smaller spread, but on a confident and in-form side against the NBA’s train wreck.
Sorry the Bet365 odds just went. Updated: Tony Parker Over 22.5 points @ 1.90 with Marathon
Detroit Pistons -5 @ 1.99 with Matchbook
Indiana Pacers -8 @ 1.87 with Marathon
Cleveland Cavaliers -6.5 @ 1.96 with Matchbook