Well, I’ve got a bet in mind that I didn’t tip but it’s taken me this long to decide I quite like it. A few non-members kept asking me for bets today, and it’s a bit late and unfair to put it in with the other post now, so I suppose I’ll just quickly throw this out there as a Free Tip for anyone that wants to use it. Free tips do not go on our records. This game is LIVE ON ESPN UK, at 12.30 am
Portland Trailblazers @ Miami Heat
Despite a 5 game win streak coming by an average of 11.6 points, I can’t back the Heat here. It’s probably one of their rare consistent runs throughout this season. It’s a Championship team that’s known from day 1 they’ll make the playoffs and quite frankly they play when they want. Momentum is well in their favor here but what isn’t is the fact they have a massive showdown on Thursday with the Oklahoma City Thunder, and that game will mean more to them than anything. They’d happily play soft and do just enough to squeeze through this game with a tight win to stay healthy for the OKC game. The Trailblazers however are on a losing run and for them it’s a big chance to snap the streak and get at a sidetracked Miami side. LaMarcus Aldridge lead the Blazers with a 25 point effort on Sunday and it’ll take that to stay with the Heat tonight, but to be honest I think he’ll drop closer to 30. Portland won the last game 92-90 as a 3 point under dog, but we’re being given a +11.5 spread on them here and I’m going to extend that a little further with the additional point spread market, just for insurance. I’m not really expecting the Trailblazers to win here but they have the firepower to match them for at least a half or more, and I do not expect a blow out. Remember, I’m using the additional point spread for some insurance. If you’re feeling brave, you could take a crack at +9 comfortably above evens.
Portland Trailblazers +12.5 @ 1.80 with Marathon