Brazilian Tips 27/03/13Comments Off

After a fantastic weekend in the Brazilian state leagues we have some interesting games this mid week which will hopefully turnover even more profit for us.

Olaria vs Vasco (7PM)

A struggling Vasco travel to Olaria as they look to gain their first win in the Taca Rio after losing their first two games to both Volta Redonda and Nova Iguacu respectively. Vasco do not have an out an goalscorer with non of their forward line having over 4 goals this term, Olaria will play a 5 man midfield as they try to swap the service the Gremio’s creative players such as Bernardo and Wendel who tend to see more of the ball than any of Vasco’s midfielders. Dede will be out of this game which will make Vasco even more defensive than normal as they look to fill the gap left by their commanding centre half.

Fluminense vs Macae (10:30PM)

Flu host Macae in the Taca Rio as the Brazilian champions look to add another state title to their ever growing trophy cabinet although Macae will be far from an easy 3 points. Fred will have returned from international duty by this game but he it is very doubtful that he will play after travelling to multiple sections of the world so it is believed that Flu will rest the front man. Macae haven’t won an away game for around 6 months so their fans won’t be holding out to much hope of taking three points from Flu, with that record in mind I think its even more reason for Macae to sit deep and try to soak up pressure hoping that Flu fail to score as they did against Duque the weekend.

Sao Caetano vs XV de Piracaba (10:30PM)

Sao Caetano were dead and burried just 3 games ago but 5 points out of a possible 9 has brought Sao Caetano within just 2 points of clawing themselves out of the relegation places and they’ll fancy their chances of picking up at least a point at home to XV de Piracaba. Just four points separates these two sides and with Xv winning just one of their previous 8 games you have to feel that they’d happily take a point from this game. In 3 of Xvs last 4 games they have been drawing at half time and I feel that this game will be the 4th time in 5 games as both teams will be more concerned about losing the game than actually winning the match.

Corinthians vs Penapolense (1AM)

Penapolense travel to Corinthians having not won an away game since their 3×2 victory over Pal and I cannot see that record improving here as I think Corinthians will record a comfortable victory. Corinthians need to win this game to destroy any fear that they won’t make the play offs and they’ll want to do it in style against a Pena team who are pushing for the play offs themselves and will be eager to put in a good performance. I expect Pena to try and fly out of the gate this game hoping to get themselves an early goal which will leave them susceptible to Corinthians break aways something that they’ve mastered over the last few seasons. I think we could be in for a very interesting first half.

Paulista vs Sao Paulo (1AM)

Table toppers travel to Paulista as they look to push home their advantage in the Paulista championship, Paulista are comfortable in 12th place in the championship this season and another positive result here will surely see them in the Paulista A1 again next season. Paulista have not conceded 2 goals at home in a single game since march 2012 and I won’t be backing against a record like that especially with Sao Paulos recent poor performances on the road. I’ll be taking Sao Paulo total goals under 1.5 as I feel that they’ll struggle against a stubborn Paulista side.

Lewis’s Tips:

  Olaria vs Vasco – Under 2.75 goals (1.9 Paddy Power)

Fluminense vs Macae – Under 3.00 goals (1.92 Pinnacle)

Sao Caetano vs XV de Piracaba – Half time draw (2.25 Bet365)

Corinthians vs Penapolense – over 1.00 first half goals (1.79 bet365)

Paulista vs Sao Paulo – Sao Paulo under 1.5 goals (2.10 bet365)

About Lewis

Our resident Brazilian football expert

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