MLB Betting Preview 10/04Comments Off

Obviously it’s been frustrating, but the first week rustiness seems to be wearing off a little. I’m reading the lines right, but just catching them on different days, so once those bases cobwebs have brushed off then they should start to roll. A fair few fancies from tonight’s MLB card, as we start to look to pick up and build against the first week.

Toronto Blue Jays @ Detroit Tigers – (6:05pm)

The Tigers have just beaten the Blue Jays last night 7-3, and have now won the last five straight meetings between the two. Surprisingly, considering their offensive assets, the Blue Jays are the third lowest scoring team in the league. However, the currently have Jose Bautista out on a day-to-day ankle injury. Both teams have conceded more than they have scored this season, with the Tigers on a -0.50 run differential whilst the Jays have a -2.00 differential.

The home side start Rick Porcello (0-1, 5.06 ERA) who lost in his first outing this season after three runs off of six hits in just over five innings. He has won two of his last five starts against the Jays. Toronto start Mark Buehrle (0-0, 10.13 ERA) who got a no decision in his first start, after conceding six runs off of seven hits in just over five innings. He has won three of his last five starts against Detroit.

Cincinnati Reds @ St Louis Cardinals – (6:45pm)

These two divisional rivals go head to head again tonight, tied in the current series 1-1. The Reds have taken the early initiative in a very competitive division, leading the way with a 5-3 record. The Cardinals with their 5-1 win against Cincinnati last night, has taken them to a 4-4 record. So far the Reds are outperforming the Cards everywhere on the field; averaging 7.29 runs/game and conceding only 3.57/game. The Cards have scored 5.86/game whilst they have conceded 5.29/game. Whilst the Reds are the highest scoring team in the league at the moment, the Cardinals are third.

The Reds start Homer Bailey (1-0, 0.00 ERA) who won his first start without conceding a run from the six innings he pitched. However, in his last five starts against the Cardinals, he has only won once. St Louis start Joe Westbrook (0-1, 0.00 ERA) who lost his first start although he only allowed one run from six hits, in just over the six innings he pitched. In his last five starts against the Reds, he has won just twice.

Colorado Rockies @ San Francisco Giants – (8:45pm)

Although the Rockies are currently 5-3, and have a run differential of 2.71, they have lost their last two games to the Giants – who are also 5-3 but with a run differential of -1.43. The Rockies have lost the last eight straight games against the Giants, and have only beaten them once in their last 10 meetings.

Colorado start Jeff Francis (1-0, 1.50 ERA) who won his first start after allowing only one run off of five hits in the six innings he pitched from. He has had a tough time against the Giants however, only winning once in his last five outings against them. The Giants starting pitcher tonight Barry Zito (1-0, 0.00 ERA) also won his first start, conceding zero runs off of three hits in the seven innings he pitched. In contrast to Francis, he has won four of his last five starts against the Rockies.

Milwaukee Brewers @ Chicago Cubs – (1:05am)

In the same division as the Reds and Cards, these rivals are tied 1-1 in the series, as they head into the third game against each other this season. After the Brewers won the series opener, the Cubs hit back last night to level the series. They both have a negative run differential, with the Brewers -2.00 and the Cubs -1.57.

The Brewers start ex-Cardinal Kyle Lohse (0-0, 1.50 ERA) on the mound tonight. He pitched for six innings in his first outing, allowing just one run off of five hits in six innings. He is a very good pitcher, and in his last five starts against the Cubs, he has won all five. The Cubs start Scott Feldman (0-1, 7.71 ERA) who allowed four runs off of five hits in four innings in his first game. He hasn’t faced the Brewers since he was a Texas player in 2010, in which he won.

Recommended Bets

Toronto Blue Jays @ Detroit Tigers - Tigers ML (1.82 – Matchbook)

Cincinnati Reds @ St Louis Cardinals -  Cardinals ML (2.06 – Matchbook)

Colorado Rockies @ San Francisco Giants - Giants ML (1.76 – Matchbook)

Colorado Rockies @ San Francisco Giants - Giants -1.5 RL (2.59 – Matchbook)

Milwaukee Brewers @ Chicago Cubs - Brewers ML @ 1.86 – Matchbook. (POSTPONED)

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