Here are a few football tips for the Sunday’s action, including a bet from (arguably) the game of the weekend at Old Trafford as Man United host in form Arsenal.
Spurs v Newcastle (12:00pm)
In the Early kick-off that is set to get Super Sunday going could be a dull game. I think Spurs are yet to show the conviction their fans have been craving, or the performances that plaudits were expecting pre season after their activity in the transfer window. Newcastle carried out one of the shocks of the season last weekend defeating Chelsea 2-0 in a resolute display, and I think we could see similar tactics at White Hart Lane.
With no new injury news I think Newcastle could line up in a similar way to their Chelsea win, although Ben Arfa could maybe come in (for Ameobi if Pardew decides on a 4-5-1). It is hard to predict the Spurs line up really, their squad is large and they have several players for each position. Whoever makes the XI, the side will be as strong as possible, but they won’t be able to take 3 points for granted here and I think they are far too short for the win. I price them at 1.75 ish for the win, so the value lies with Newcastle. Barring their 4-0 defeat on the opening day at Man City, Newcastle have lost 3 of 9 EPL games, none by more than one goal. Because of this, backing them +1.00 Asian is a great value bet – I think they’ll get a point.
Mainz v Eintracht Frankfurt 2:30pm)
Eintracht Frankfurt suffered a loss in Europe in midweek that finally reflects their domestic form this season. With 3 wins from 3 in Europe, it was looking a little skewed, but their 4-2 defeat at Maccabi Tel Aviv is more in line with their Bundesliga form. Mainz lost at Augsburg last weekend, but won their last home game 2-0 against Braunschweig. They have won 3 ,drawn one at home this season, losing twice (to Schalke and Leverkusen, no disgrace there). They haven’t struggled to score at home either, so I see them notching again today against a side leaking goals of late.
Frankfurt have conceded 10 in their last 5 games, scoring 6. With the fact both sides have failed to score only once this season, I think BTTS has a great chance of winning, but priced at , I wouldn’t risk it with Frankfurt possibly suffering from their away defeat on Thursday.
Wetlko is suspended for the game after seeing red at Augsburg, so Karius will start in goal. Nicolai Muller should start after coming on at HT last weekend – this is a big bost for the home side who are struggling a little with injuries. However, I think the advantage of a week of rest and playing at home will see them take all three points. I’ve gone +0.00 to keep the draw on our side.
Feyenoord v AZ Alkmaar (3:30pm)
Star man Pelle is out for Feyenoord as he serves the final game of his 2 match ban for his red card a few weeks ago. Other than that the side are at full strength, and the value lies with them picking up all three points in my eyes. Pelle is a good player, but without good service he would struggle. Despite his absence, Feyenoord will still create clear cut chances. On loan Armenteros could start up front like against Cambuur, and with Schaken and Boetius supporting they will be dangerous.
AZ have clawed their way up the table in what is one of the tightest starts to an Eredivisie campaign I have seen. Just three points between the top 8 means we will see a lot of ups and downs each week until it settles. Ultimately, I think AZ lack the edge to maintain their current position. They won 1-0 in midweek against a defensive minded Shaktor Karagandy side. Away from home, their 2-0 win at Zwolle two weeks ago was their first in 4 games, having lost their previous 3 on the road. They have been leaky on the road, conceding 12 in 5 until their clean sheet at Zwolle.
Man United v Arsenal (4:10pm)
This is a huge game for both sides. A win for either will really speak volumes for the way their season could be going. Arsenal could afford a defeat really, having exceeded their expectations so far. United on the other hand absolutely can’t lose. Losing would see United drop 11 points behind Arsenal after 11 games. The gap between them and the top four could be as high as 6 points too. United will be highly motivated for this game and I think their reputation will help them grind out a win.
Defensively they have been far from stable, but I think the turnaround against Stoke has sparked life in to them going forward. I’m still not convinced of the Arsenal back line, and despite their good form I’m expecting them to make a few errors at some point – I think it could be today. Rooney and RVP are in good form and are linking up well, and I think Januzaj will start and also cause problems down the left. Along with the in form Evra i think this could be a key area for United.
Arsenal are flying, and their confidence has helped them get some surprising results, but if United press them hard and out-work the away side, I ultimately expect them to get all three points and keep the title race very tight.
Newcastle +1.00 (2.00 – Bet365)
Mainz +0.00 (1.88 – Bet365)
Feyenoord Win (1.91 – Coral)
Man United Win (2.40 – PaddyPower)