Another busy NBA schedule tonight gives us plenty of opportunities to build on our 6-1 record over the past couple of days.
Atlanta Hawks @ Detroit Pistons – (12.30am)
I keep going against this Detroit team. It doesn’t always work, and maybe their capable of pushing towards the playoffs given their surroundings, but I don’t like the defence at all. They’ve averaged 101 points against per game and we’re 11 games in to the season, so that clearly isn’t good. The Hawks have had their number in recent seasons, as they’ve won 6 of the last 8 meetings. Already Detroit lead the Hawks in terms of the spread with a 5-3 ATS run, this is a tight line and I think the Hawks are definitely capable of leaving here with a win. The Hawks are capable of picking up lots of rebounds and giving the poor Pistons defence some problems tonight, and any time you’re left relying on outscoring teams with a defence this bad, there’s bound to be nights that just don’t go your way.
Cleveland Cavaliers @ New Orleans Pelicans – (1.00am)
I like this Pelicans side, they’re very under-rated. Prices are catching up with them but there’s still value with this team that may be a sneaky outsider for the playoffs. Cleveland are not great. Their 4-8 record tells less of a story than their spread record, which is currently 2-10 ATS and 1-10 ATS through November. Another reason why this is a good time to bet the Pelicans is the line-up. Although Davis has come in and been doing a great job, he now has Anderson alongside him. Anderson was the teams top points scorer last season and with the Pelicans averaging 96.9 points and 43% shooting without him, they’ve now scored 135 and 105 in his two starts. That high scoring should continue this evening as the Wizards managed to take a 28 point lead at one stage in Cleveland last time out.
San Antonio Spurs @ Memphis Grizzlies – (1.00am)
You can make a case for the Grizzlies here on the back of their 4 game win streak, but the 10-1 Spurs are on an 8 game run and looking better than ever. They’re playing slower and more controlled which’ll see a tight and lower scoring contest here, but the Spurs have won 11 of the last 13 against this Grizzlies side, including a surprising 4-0 in their playoff meeting last year. This is definitely one situation where you can consider the motivation for Memphis, but it’s such a commanding trend it’s hard to go against the Spurs on such a small line. The Spurs have covered the spread in 10 of those 13 games.
Brooklyn Nets @ Minnesota Timberwolves – (1.00am)
Whilst Charlotte shouldn’t be underestimated at home, you have to say on paper this Nets team losing to the Bobcats isn’t really good enough. It took their record to 3-8 this season and they’ve covered just 4 of the 11 spreads put their way. It’s gonna be a tough game against a Timberwolves team on a rest and motivated to bounce back after their home loss to the Clippers on Wednesday. The T’Wolves have won 2 of the last 3 recent meetings and that’s without most the pieces of the puzzle. Now they finally have every fit you’re seeing what a threat they are to other teams, whilst the Nets are just the opposite. Deron Williams was one of the few positives for the Nets but after his injury in Charlotte he may not play. Lopez also missed the game and may sit out again.
Utah Jazz @ Dallas Mavericks – (1.30am)
No guarantees on this one. It could be tricky and if the Jazz really under-perform, it won’t help us. That said, if they play bad enough and the confident Mavericks keep scoring as highly as they are, maybe they’ll cover at least 3/5th’s of it for us! We’re taking the OVER here. The Jazz may be forced to make some changes tonight and with Hayward’s current shooting, I don;t think seeing how they do in his absence is a bad thing because although he is key, his shooting is terribly and they’re getting beat every night anyway, so let’s see if someone steps up in his absence. In short though neither side has a great defence, the Mavs will give up points and Dirk is going to completely have his way with this team. We like the OVER and we’re 6-1, so although it’s one of the riskier bets here it’d be rude not include one, although 6 of the last 7 between these two have gone OVER anyway.
Chicago Bulls @ Portland Trailblazers – (3.00am)
The Bulls have failed to cover the point spread in their last 5 games and last night’s effort in Denver wasn’t very well sustained. They faded away quickly in the second half and now they have to travel to Portland for game 2 of their road back to back. Tiredness could be an issue, as could the home sides dominance in this series. The Trailblazers are doing what their nickname insinuates right now. The Bulls are a tough defines, but their no. 25 ranked offence is not doing it for me. Rose doesn’t look anything like him-self and this is a tough situational spot. Portland are are 3-0 against Chicago and have covered all 3 of those recent meetings.
Atlanta Hawks +4.5 @ 1.85 with Pinnacle
New Orleans Pelicans -6 @ 1.83 with Bet365
San Antonio Spurs @ 1.92 with Matchbook
Timberwolves -9 @ 1.98 with Matchbook
Jazz/Mavs: OVER 199.5 @ 1.85 with Pinnacle
Portland Trailblazers -3.5 @ 1.90 with Pinnacle