Saturday Football Tips – 23/11/13Comments Off

With domestic competitions now back, I have plenty of action for Saturday and Sunday across Europe. With some huge games such as Everton v Liverpool, Arsenal v Liverpool and Dortmund v Bayern – this weekend is sure to be action packed and full of talking points.

Everton v Liverpool (12:45pm)

The Merseyside derby is almost always a tough game to call, but on this occasion there is only one side I would be backing, especially at the prices available. After consecutive 0-0 draws and three clean sheet on the bounce, Everton have a clear focus on chance prevention and limiting the threat of their opponents. Their concern is going forward. Failing to score in 4 games already isn’t a stat they’ll be pleased with. Liverpool welcomed back Coutinho in their 4-0 demolition of Fulham, and he will be key in this game. He adds another dimension to their attacking play and is great at linking with the dangerous front pair of Suarez and Sturridge.

Everton will get a couple of chances, but I don’t think they will be able to outscore their opponents. 2.50 for an away win hear is a great bet in my opinion and will hopefully kick start a Saturday of profit.

Eintracht Frankfurt v Schalke (2:30pm)

We opposed Frankfurt last time out and today we are doing it again, this time against stronger opposition too… Schalke have lost just twice in their last 9 Bundesliga fixtures – against Dortmund and Bayern. Their improved form has them sitting rightfully in 6th place. Frankfurt have been poor this season and haven’t looked like improving. Takashi Inui and Alexander Meier are key for them, but the remainder of the squad is very week (Aigner is a doubt). Without a win in 7, and three defeats on the bounce, they are perilously close to the relegation zone and after last season’s success, they had set their sights much higher.

Away from home, Schalke have won 3 of their last four, including an impressive 2-0 win at an impressive Hertha Berlin side. Huntelaar is still out but with Boateng, Draxler, Szalai and young Max Meyer playing well, I expect this side to take all three points in this game. The line is good enough to cover the draw too (+0.00)

Arsenal v Southampton (3pm)

Here we have backed Southampton +1.00 and I think at the price we got, it is a very solid bet that will be tough to beat. Arsenal have been in great form, that is a given. The fact they beat Southampton 6-1 last time at the Emirates is pretty much irrelevant given the transformation at the Hampshire club over the last 18 months. Lambert, Lallana and Rodriguez were all rightfully given a chance for England during the international break, and the confidence of these three will be sky high. With just one defeat this season (1-0 at Norwich), Saints have yet to be beaten with this handicap (they have lost by more than one goal only once in their past 19 away EPL fixtures). Having already beaten Liverpool at Anfield, and managing a deserved 1-1 draw at Old Trafford, they won’t be phased and will know they have a genuine chance at all three points.

Walcott is said to be available for the game, which could help or hinder the home side. If he isn’t fully match fit, he shouldn’t start – but if he did it might help the visitors. The key is in midfield as it so often is with Arsenal. I am anticipating a tight fixture and think Southampton will cause an upset and get something from the game. Should they lose, I expect it will be by the odd goal as Southampton haven’t conceded more than one goal in 19 Premier League fixtures

PSV v Heerenveen (5:45pm)

The Dutch Eredivisie has been topsy-turvy so far this season – unpredictable, and ridiculously tight. Unlike previous seasons, we are yet to see a divide between the top few sides and the bulk of the table. PSV have arguably been the biggest under-performers of the tops sides so far this season. Languishing in 8th place and with one point from their last 4 league fixtures, they are at risk of drifting off the pace. Heerenveen started the season brightly, largely thanks to the form of main man Finnbogason.

The line here is all wrong in my opinion, and we can take advantage. PSV have won just two of their last 10 Eredivisie fixtures, and haven’t covered this line since their 4-0 win over Ajax. Heerenveen lost 2-0 at Utrecht in their last away fixture before the international break, and that is the only time they lost by 2+ goals in their last 9 games. With an in form side who have scored 23 in their last 10 games, I can’t see PSV managing a clean sheet (they have conceded in their last 6), so -1.50 seems to be too much of a line to cover.

PSV have a fair few injury concerns too, so they are not at full strength and Heerenveen have an outside chance of all three points

Terry’s Tips

Everton v Liverpool – Liverpool Win (2.50 – Bet Victor)

Frankfurt v Schalke – Schalke +0.00 (1.95 – Bet365)

Arsenal v Southampton – Southampton +1.00 (1.89 – Bet Victor)

PSV v Heerenveen – Heerenveen +1.50 (1.95 – Bet Victor)

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