A busy day similar to last Saturday where we had 4 winners and a push from 6 bets. A similar outcome today would be a great start to the festive season!
Liverpool v Cardiff City (12:45pm)
It is hard not to have heard something about the goings on at Cardiff City the past few days. It’s hard to know exactly what kind of an impact it will have on the players. It could help them get behind their manager and put on a top performance, or it could leave them disillusioned.
Liverpool won’t be too bothered. They know they are a stronger side than the visitors and know that on current form the should be able to get three points relatively comfortably. Gerrard is out injured, but their performance on Sunday showed that they have enough in the midfield without him. Obviously Suarez will be key once more, as will Coutinho. Henderson also provides and gets forward and I think that they will be too much for the Cardiff defence.
We will be backing the hosts on the Asian Handicap once more (we’ve backed them against Norwich West Ham and Fulham recently – winning 3/3) as I expect them to cover. The line has increased to -2.00, which is tougher to beat, but they have the capability to do it. Cardiff have managed just 4 away goals this season, and this lack of goals should help us here.
Borussia Dortmund v Hertha BSC (2:30pm)
Dortmund are in a rut at the minute and this is a great opportunity for them to lift themselves out of it. At 2-0 down last weekend they were gifted a goal just before half time and probably should have taken all three points. Hertha won against Bremen and played well. Adrian Ramos is one of the in form players of the league and I have also been impressed with Brazilian Ronny. They look dangerous going forward and against a defence that is yet to get back to full strength, I think they could cause an upset here.
Dortmund will be feeling the pressure as they stand already 12 points behind Bayern, and are level on points with 4th placed Monchengladbach. In fact, Hertha are just 7 points behind them – a stat that the visitors will be more than pleased with.
Dortmund could obviously win here, and many will fully expect them to win. The line on the Asian Handicap market is just wrong though, far too short on Dortmund. Back Hertha +1.50 (A HUGE LINE)
Eintracht Braunschweig v Hoffenheim (2:30pm)
Hoffenheim have not been short of goals this season, but their league position hasn’t benefited as a result of their poor defensive form. Today they travel to a Braunschweig side who have managed just the one goal in their last 5 league fixtures. With just the one home win this season, Braunschweig will be very wary of conceding early and being up against players such as Volland, Firmino and Modeste, they will have to work hard to keep the score down, especially early on.
The home side’s struggles in front of goal are very apparent. Just 9 this season (from 16 games), and 4 in their 8 home games this, I think that Hoffenheim will win comfortably the earlier they manage their first goal. They aren’t afraid to attack and providing they don’t change their approach I’m happy to back them for the win despite them only managing two victories in their last 11 league games.
Werder Bremen v Bayer Leverkusen (2:30pm)
Crystal Palace v Newcastle United (3pm)
Palace have enjoyed a mini recovery since Pulis. With 3 wins from their last 5 (and three clean sheets), they are now just a point from safety. Today is a big test though. Sure they have kept 4 clean sheets in 6 games and managed three wins in that time, but these 3 victories have come against Hull, West Ham and Cardiff – three sides comfortably in the bottom 8 or 9 sides. Newcastle have been enjoying form that has seen them leapfrog Spurs and Man United.
Earlier in the season, I wasn’t very optimistic about Newcastle’s chances, but they have since changed my mind. Since going down 3-0 at HT at Goodison Park, they have been very strong. Defeats at Sunderland and Swansea the only blemishes in 10 games. They’ve enjoyed a win at Old Trafford and White Hart Lane, as well as a home win against Chelsea. They are full of confidence and they probably deserved to beat Southampton last weekend.
Newcastle will create chances and I am confident that they will put one or two away. Palace have improved, but have still only scored 5 goals in their last 8 games since Holloway’s departure. I fancy an away win.
Heracles v Vitesse (6:45pm)
Liverpool v Cardiff – Liverpool -2.00 (2.05 – Winner)
Dortmund v Hertha – Hertha +1.50 (1.86 – Bet Victor)
Braunschweig v Hoffenheim – Hoffenheim Win (1.95 – Bet Victor)
Bremen v Leverkusen – Leverkusen Win (1.80 – Betfred)
Palace v Newcastle – Newcastle Win (2.40 – Bet Victor)
Heracles v Vitesse – Vitesse Win (1.85 – Bet Victor)