Betting Tool Kit - What is Asian Handicap?


Betting Tool Kit - What is Asian Handicap?

I enjoy using Asian handicap (AH), and have found it to be very profitable when working alongside my research and statistical models. A lot of my new followers often aren't sure of the numbers I use in my tips (-0.5, +1.25 etc), so I've written this post to explain the method/market...

Asian Handicap fundamentally allows you to bet on the strength of your predicted outcome. This provides far more flexibility when placing bets than the usual 1X2 market. Instead of placing bets on the favourite at 1.20, you can use AH to work these odds up to closer to 2.00 (evens), or even higher - if you're confident enough in your choice.

There are three types of AH bets, all provide their own advantages:

Full Goal Asian Handicap

This type of bet eliminates any form of draw. However, you can have your stake returned. It is often used to lower the risk of the bet.

Using an example, we can explain the possible outcomes when using a full goal handicap. Man United are playing at home against Stoke City and are understandably favourites for the fixture. 

The Asian Handicap line is set at -1.00, meaning you either back Man United with a -1.00 goal disadvantage, or Stoke City with a +1.00 goal advantage.

You think Man United will win easily so back them with a -1.00 disadvantage - here are the possible outcomes:

Man United win by 2+ goals = BET WINS
Man United win by 1 goal = BET IS VOID (stake returned)
Man United draw or lose = BET LOST

Notice there is no option of a draw. This is the main feature of Asian Handicap. This allows bookmakers to price the bets with lower margins, which is a great thing for the punter.

Half Goal Asian Handicap

This bet type you either win or lose. The underdog starts with an advantage that the favourite must overcome. The below example shows Newcastle United as favourites. You back them on the Asian Handicap with a 0.5 goal disadvantage then they must win the game. If you backed Aston Villa in this instance, they would have to not lose the game for your AH bet to win.

Newcastle -0.5 at odds of 1.97 (wins if Newcastle win ONLY)
Aston Villa +0.5 at odds of 1.96 (wins if Villa win OR draw)

The half goal line can be higher too. A game between Man City and Hull City may give odds of 1.90 for Man City to win with a -1.5 Asian Handicap. This would mean Man City would need to win by 2 or more goals for the bet to win.

Quarter Goal Asian Handicap

The quarter goal handicap seems complicated at first, but can be easily explained. Basically, betting on this handicap splits your stake to the two nearest half AH bets. For example, placing £10 on +0.25 Asian Handicap places £5 on +0.00 and £5 on +0.50.

If your selection wins, both parts of your stake win. If your selection draws, the £5 on +.0.00 is returned, and you win on your £5 stake on +0.50 goals.

Using a new example fixture of Chelsea v Liverpool, you decide to back Liverpool +0.25 (half stake on +0.00 and half on +0.50). Here are the possible outcomes:

Liverpool WIN: +0.00 WIN and +0.50 WIN (FULL WIN)
DRAW: +0.00 is VOID and +0.50 WIN (HALF WIN)
Chelsea WIN: +0.00 LOSE and +0.0 LOSE (FULL LOSE)

Be sure to understand the different ways this can be advertised on betting sites: +0.25, +1/4 or +0.00/+0.50 are all used frequently.

Comparisons

Below is a table of comparisons, showing the equivalent bets to Asian Handicap, available at most bookmakers.

Asian Handicap = Bookies Equivalent
-1.5 = -1 Goal Handicap
-0.5 = To Win
+0.0 = Draw No Bet
+0.5 = Double Chance
+1.5 = +1 Goal Handicap

You can find a detailed win/lose/void table on the Asian Handicap Wikipedia page

I hope this explains the Asian Handicap method, if not, let me know and I'll do my best to explain further until you understand fully!