Dortmund come in to this game after the winter break and a terrible run of form before hand haveing won one of their last 6 games before Christmas - and their last three at home.
Augsburg have done very well so far this season, but not many expect their form to continue, they aren't at the level of the tops sides, but currently sit in 8th place - an exceptional return when many tipped them for relegation. However, 2 clean sheets in their last 3 on the road (1 win and 2 draws), and unbeaten in 6 league games make them incredible value on a huge handicap line.
Dortmund possess real firepower, and their 6-1 win against Stuttgart here shows what they are capable of. They have also won 5-0 and 6-2 here this season too - they create chances and can score goals, but they are too easily frustrated and pressured in to forcing play. I think Augsburg can compete here and continue their impressive form from before the break. Similarly, I don't think the break will have helped Dortmund - they will have been brewing on their poor form for a month now without a chance to rectify it.
Some will say this is a risky bet, and sure, it is no guaranteed winner, but there is value on this line - Dortmund have covered it just 3 times in their last 11 Bundesliga games at home.